Recent national surveys show former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in the polls after Trump’s recent conviction, indicating stable support despite legal challenges.
Former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in recent national polls following Trump’s conviction. A survey conducted by the Economist/YouGov asked registered voters who they plan to vote for in the November 2024 presidential election. The results showed Trump with 42% support compared to Biden’s 40%, a two-point lead. Earlier in June, both candidates were tied with 42% each.\
📊 NATIONAL POLL: YouGov/Economist
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 12, 2024
🟥 Trump: 42% [=]
🟦 Biden: 40% [-2]
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%
🟪 Other: 3%
Independents: Trump 37-26%
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• May 28: Trump +1
• June 4: Tie
• June 10: Trump+2
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Generic Ballot
🟥 GOP 44% [=]
🟦 DEM 44% [-1]
[+/- change vs June 4]
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Extremely/very… pic.twitter.com/aTJkvG1Cgr
The conviction has not negatively affected Trump’s support, with his numbers holding steady and Biden’s dipping slightly. The survey also found that 3% of respondents would support independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., while Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent candidate Cornel West each garnered 1%. Nine percent of respondents were unsure, and 2% said they would not vote.
Another survey highlighted Trump’s significant lead among independent voters, with 37% support compared to Biden’s 26%, an 11-point difference.
Cygnal’s national poll also mirrored these findings, showing Trump leading Biden by two points in a head-to-head matchup, 47% to 45%. When third-party candidates were included, Trump still led by three points, with 41% to Biden’s 38%, according to the Cygnal poll.
In Pennsylvania, a key swing state, Trump leads Biden by two points, 47% to 45%. The consistent trend across these polls indicates that Trump’s conviction has not hurt his standing with voters.
📊 PENNSYLVANIA GE: NPR/Marist
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 12, 2024
🟥 Trump: 47% (+2)
🟦 Biden: 45%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%
🟨 West: 1%
🟩 Stein: 1%
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• Independents: Trump 42-40%
• Definitely voting: Trump 48-46%
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#6 (2.9/3.0) | 6/3-6 | 1,131 RV | ±3.6%https://t.co/n5onH3jT2D pic.twitter.com/5t6zpURQCI