The monster storm is now projected to only slightly weaken before landfall.
Milton strengthened overnight into a devastating Category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds in excess of 160 mph. The National Hurricane Center reported early Wednseday that Milton was located about 300 miles southwest of Tampa, traversing the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico towards the northeast at 14 mph.
#Milton is STILL a Category 5 Hurricane this morning, officially intensifying to 907 MBAR while holding sustained winds of 160 mph. The latest forecast cone as of 5 am EDT now predicts Milton to make landfall in #Florida as a 130 mph, CATEGORY 4 storm. This landfall (expected in… pic.twitter.com/q8JUIPuR19
— Backpirch Weather (@BackpirchCrew) October 9, 2024
“On the forecast track, the center of Milton will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico today, make landfall along the west-central coast of Florida late tonight or early Thursday morning, and move off the east coast of Florida over the western Atlantic Ocean Thursday afternoon,” NHC wrote in an advisory note.
The latest forecast states Milton will make landfall near Sarasota between 0200 ET and 0600 ET Thursday morning as a Category 4 storm.
One of the main concerns across the Tampa to Sarasota region will be the storm’s dangerous eye and eyewall unleashing record storm surges. Warnings have already been posted for much of Florida’s western coast.
Storm surge plus wave heights. Not good pic.twitter.com/SPpSM0o4MY
— The American Storm (@BigJoeBastardi) October 9, 2024
Not good.
Wow! Watch this catastrophic simulation of Hurricane Milton
— Kylie Jane Kremer (@KylieJaneKremer) October 8, 2024
Milton is predicted to hit as a Category 5 hurricane with storm surges up to 15 feet in the Tampa area then will move across Florida
If you are in Milton’s path with evacuation orders, leave now
Do NOT wait pic.twitter.com/Nfv6LIQ8Bv
“Tampa is on a knife’s edge, but Sarasota, Siesta Key, Venice, Englewood, Port Charlotte, and Punta Gorda continue to look to experience the worst of the storm surge under this scenario,” Ben Noll, a meteorologist with New Zealand’s National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research, wrote on X.
The overnight ECMWF nudges slightly north with #Milton, with the eye forecast to pass near the southern end of Tampa Bay.
— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) October 9, 2024
Tampa is on a knife's edge, but Sarasota, Siesta Key, Venice, Englewood, Port Charlotte, and Punta Gorda continue to look to experience the worst of the… pic.twitter.com/DAqnVxHJ4v
Noll continued.
As of early Wednesday, #Milton remained a category 5 storm with a central pressure of 907 hPa, continuing to rank in the top-10 most intense Atlantic hurricanes on record from a pressure perspective.
— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) October 9, 2024
Landfall in #Florida is only about 20 hours away from now. pic.twitter.com/wUO3TdJ3za
Since Sunday, evacuations in the state have been the largest since 2017.
According to the Florida Division of Emergency Management, here are the areas under mandatory evacuation orders:
Charlotte County; Citrus County; Collier County; Hillsborough County; Hernando County; Lee County; Levy County; Manatee County; Pasco County; Pinellas County; Sarasota County; St. John’s County and Volusia County;
And voluntary evacuation orders:
Glades County; Okeechobee County; Dixie County; Hardee County; Miami-Dade County and Union County.
Evacuation order map:
GTFO
Officials are urging residents along Florida's Gulf Coast to evacuate ahead of Hurricane Milton, with the Tampa mayor saying, "If you choose to stay in one of those evacuation areas, you're going to die." pic.twitter.com/NTg683IJRH
— AccuWeather (@accuweather) October 8, 2024
Massive evacuations in Florida due to Hurricane Milton. This is I-75 in Tampa. pic.twitter.com/owHfH8v8sj
— T_CAS videos (@tecas2000) October 8, 2024
A mass evacuation is in progress in Sarasota, Florida, following the upgrade of Hurricane Milton to a Category 5. Here’s a look at the northbound traffic on I-75 as residents make their escape.@MyRadarWX #flwx #hurricane #milton pic.twitter.com/vC2pEvxLR2
— Jordan Hall (@JordanHallWX) October 7, 2024
Meanwhile, Tampa-area Sheriff Chad Chronister of the Hillsborough County Sheriff’s Office told residents anyone who has not evacuated is “on their own.”